Spain’s economic growth has continued to show notable dynamism in the first semester 2018, clearly above the European average. It moves forward along the same lines as the global product. However, we also observe the growing divergence occurring as the year goes on between the robust economic data and the greater uncertainty arising from an increased risk, both for the global economy and Spain.
Consumption of traditional television is decreasing in Spain, consequence of the new trends that users have when watching audiovisual contents. This drop in consumption means a significant reduction in the generalist television audience, especially in regional televisions, while the audience of pay TV follows a significantly growing tendency. This change in consumption patterns is shown in the fact that in 2017, for the first time, revenues from pay TV exceeded open televisión ones.
Much has been discussed lately about the legality or lack thereof of exercising economic activity through a company as opposed to channeling the same sort of activities through a partner of the latter, as well as the changes made in the Tax Authorities’ criteria. Nevertheless, this is not an issue that is new or that has undergone significant modifications in the recent past years, it is simply a litigious issue that has not yet been resolved.
The Spanish economy is still undergoing intense and differential economic growth regarding the euro area. In addition, it is progressing with a more solid basis than previous periods of growth. However, the scenario we consider for the Spanish economy is now subject to upside risks, both inside and outside Spain.
Spanish Regional Governments are clearly benefiting from the intense economic growth of the national economy. However, there has been a very important increase in the regional debt over the last years. In this context, the Extraordinary Liquidity Mechanisms (ELM) have gained great importance in the share they represent of the regional debt. We now expect the return of the regions to the markets to finance their debts and the improvement of their debt-to-GDP ratio.