The months of June and July are usually used by drivers to prepare their vehicles for summer journeys. July is the Corporate Tax´s month, as the vast majority of companies file their returns in this month. This month of July has seen a major ruling by the Constitutional Court, which may have more consequences than those initially derived from the declaration of unconstitutionality it contains. For all these reasons, and in the same way that we are paying attention to our car, I believe that the time has come to stop and carry out a small review of the state of our Corporation Tax. Let's take step by step.
At Equipo Economico we maintain, at the moment, our estimated contraction of the Spanish GDP of, at least, 10% in 2020. In 2021, the economy pickup would allow it to grow at 7.2%, although this will be insufficient to reach previous annual levels of growth and employment. The implementation of an adequate economic policy is urgent to overcome the challenges posed by the depth of the crisis in Spain and strengthen recovery.
In the last years, the tax authorities have focused on checking the sale of non-traded securities, often ignoring the existence of proof guidelines and relying instead on one of two objective methods.
The real estate sector is proving to be one of the most affected by the Covid-19 crisis in Spain. The framework of uncertainty around the virus, together with poor economic prospects and the impact on the labor market are delaying investment decisions. All of the above forecast that the diminishing demand for residential housing will continue in the coming months. On the other hand, the medical origin of this crisis, as well as its exceptional nature, could be causing a change in the tastes and preferences of consumers, who now place a higher value in space and light, to the detriment of location.
The world economy is being strongly affected by the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic. The necessary search for the containment of the progression of the disease has led to a general disruption of the economic activity, including Spain. In this context, we expect the contraction of Spanish GDP to reach 10% in 2020. The impact of the crisis will be heterogeneous at the sectorial level. In order to recover from this crisis, the needs of the productive network must be considered with the utmost care, since they represent the main generator of employment.